BTO Radar

Interactive matcher

Which BTO project should I apply for?

Rank tracked HDB BTO projects by your estimated ballot chance across first-timer, second-timer, single and senior categories, paired with your EHG grant and 30% MSR budget ceiling.

Your ballot chances
First-timers usually have 2, second-timers 1, first-timer parents and married couples 3.

Your budget envelope · $6,000/mo income

$379,577

Indicative loan cap; the flat price also depends on your cash, CPF OA and grant

Financing components

EHG grant (first-timer family)$50,000
30% MSR monthly cap$1,800/mo
Max HDB loan (25 yrs, assessed at 3%)$379,577

Check your exact cash and CPF split in the BTO downpayment calculator

Ranked 3-room pools (12 matched)

First-timer rate · sorted from highest to lowest invitation chance with 2 ballot chances.

ProjectTown & classLaunchUnitsFirst-timer rateOdds (0% decline)Odds (40% decline)
Sembawang Anchor Sembawang · Standard November 2026 96 0.6 ~100% ~100%
Kim Keat Crest Toa Payoh · Plus February 2026 87 0.6 ~100% ~100%
Sembawang Brook / Sembawang Portico Sembawang · Standard June 2026 187 0.7 ~100% ~100%
Redhill Peaks Bukit Merah · Prime February 2026 91 0.8 ~100% ~100%
Bayshore Sails Bedok · Plus November 2026 90 1.2 83% ~100%
Chencharu Acres Yishun · Standard November 2026 84 1.3 77% ~100%
Berlayar Rise Bukit Merah · Prime June 2026 172 1.3 77% ~100%
Kebun Baru Ridge Ang Mo Kio · Plus June 2026 95 1.4 71% ~100%
Sembawang Deck Sembawang · Standard February 2026 84 1.4 71% ~100%
Plantation Dew Tengah · Standard November 2026 84 1.5 67% ~100%
Woodgrove Acres Woodlands · Standard June 2026 80 2.3 43% 72%
Tampines Bliss Tampines · Standard February 2026 80 3.7 27% 45%

How the matcher combines odds and budget

  1. Ballot odds from official HDB application rates: For every project with published HDB rates in your chosen applicant category, we compute your invitation probability using our weighted-ballot model at your chosen number of ballot chances (0% decline and a hypothetical 40% decline scenario based on historical HDB reporting).
  2. Affordability from your household income: Your gross monthly income sets both your Enhanced CPF Housing Grant (EHG) (up to $120,000 for first-timer families earning $9,000 or below, or up to $60,000 for first-timer singles earning $4,500 or below under the EHG (Singles) schedule) and your maximum monthly mortgage repayment under the 30% Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR).
  3. Historical comparison only: The ranking includes only published HDB rate rows. Closed projects cannot be applied for; historical rates do not predict a future ballot result.

Common questions

Can I apply for every ranked project?

No. This is a historical comparison of published HDB application rates. Check the launch dates and HDB eligibility before applying.

Can singles compare 2-room Flexi application rates here?

Yes. Choose "First-timer single (2-room Flexi)" under Applicant category to rank every tracked 2-room Flexi pool by its official HDB singles rate and your EHG (Singles) grant.

Is the loan cap my maximum flat price?

No. The price you can afford also depends on available cash, CPF OA, grant eligibility and your HFE assessment.